The Coming Regime Change in Iran – By Abdulkadir X
US President Barack Obama, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and British Prime Minister Gordon Brown announced that Tehran had admitted to the UN nuclear watchdog that it had built a second uranium enrichment plant. This announcement was followed by urgent calls to Iran to accede to stricter international supervision and monitoring of its nuclear program.
This latest revelation has also raised war tensions and fears of a military strike against the Iranian nuclear facility by either Israeli or America forces. However, the US Defense Secretary Robert Gates last Friday, ruled out the possibility of random military strike against Tehran’s nuclear program, as this would only delay the program by about one to three years.
Gates however stated that,”… the only way you end up not having a nuclear capable Iran is for the Iranian government to decide that their security is diminished by having those weapons as opposed to strengthened,” he said.
In decoded terms he is saying that there remains only the option for regime change in Iran, if the regime does not volunatarily and convincingly demonstrate that it has eschewed its goal to develop nuclear technical expertise, then there would be a war to change and replace that regime. The only way the Iranian government would decide that “their security is diminshed..” is when its very existence comes under threat by international forces.
This is the very essence of the Bush doctrine, “you are either with us, or against us…” and “if you are against us, you get the preemptive strike!”
The Attackers, the facilitators:
I am getting convinced that the Iranian government will have to face the regime change test soon enough. It may come from Israel, it may start with the U.S. but it appears that with the revelation of another secret Iranian nuclear facility, the hour may have passed for any meaning diplomacy and trust-building. The count down begins October 1, 2009.
President Obama has also ramped up the heat by giving the Iranian regime notice of the ultimatium it will be facing come this October 1st 2009 from the international community. This might be that first “major test” of Obama that V.P. Joe Biden spoke about during the election campaign. The then V.P. contestant had initimated that shortly after the inauguaration of the President Obama, there will be some major crisis incidence to test his mettle and resolve.
The E.U powers of Germany, France and Britain are illuminati controlled systems that has been set up to ensure the continued dominance of a so-called white supremacy system. The old colonial powers of the world are simply not going to roll over and allow some new “off-white” kid on the block (like Ahmedinajad of Iran) to become the new bully of the region. Iran is damn too close to Europe, even closer to Israel to be allowed to become some sort of sovereign threatening power block.
Israeli P.M. Benjamin Netanyahu has been going back and forth like the proverbial devil of the old seeking whom to convince and where to commence this anticipated catastrophic battle.
Russia has waffled on several occassions about its true intentions and loyalties. It appears to want a diplomatic solution, but then it appears to be miffed by Iranian intransigence, but then again it appears it sees a business opportunity in the arms sales that would result in the wake of the wars. Russia is already in a contract to upgrade Iranian air-defence system and in line with this obligation, it is due to delivery to Iran some dozens of S300 anti-aircraft missile system.
China says one thing and does the other. What is clear however, is that China is prepared to go along with any ultimate decision reached between the west and Israel on the fate of Iran. It would want to demonstrate that “it is a responsible member of the international community which is keenly aware of the weight of that very responsibility”. In decoded terminolgy, China is another highly westernized (read communist) illuminati controlled illusion. When the chips are down it always sides with the West. In this coming hulf war fracas, China would not want to side with the obvious losing side against the obvious winning side. The Chinese are simply that practical. They are good business people even if they are also communists.
Last Chance for Diplomacy:
All said, it appears that one last chance for peace hovers in the horizon on the 1st of October 2009, and that is that if Iran accedes to Western demands there will be peace. It will be a bloodless coup for the West and the rude boy of the region would have been humiliated and the older bigger boys gratified.
That is not likely to happen. The mullahs are too entrenched in their positions to back down now.
Gates suggested that said while the United States would not rule out the use of force, there was still time for diplomacy and sanctions to persuade Iran to give up uranium enrichment work that Washington believes is designed to develop nuclear weapons.
“While you don’t take options off the table, I still think there’s room left for diplomacy.”
There may be room, but the space is getting perilously thinner with each passing minute. The whole world should watch with anticipation as President of the United States of America, leads the “free world” to deal with this nuclear crisis. Considering how close Obama has become to the Kennedy family, how he has been often compared to John F. Kennedy whom Obama also confesses to admiring a great deal, isn’t this Iranian-made nuclear crisis just sooo reminiscent of the days of John F. Kennedy and the Cuban/Russian missile crisis? Isn’t it?
AbdulKadir X
September 27, 2009
The G-20 summit, which finished working last week in the USA, has most likely become the top event of this autumn. The summit did not highlight the crisis and world economic problems but paid most attention to the Iranian nuclear program. US and French presidents, as well as the British Prime Minister, stated that Iran had been conducting the secret construction of the uranium enrichment plant on the outskirts of the town of Qum.
The members of the summit condemned Iran’s actions. Russia’s Dmitry Medvedev joined the traditional choir of the critics.
“The construction of the plant contradicts to the requirements of the UN Security Council,” the Russian president said.
The change of Russia’s stance on Iran’s nuclear programs could be seen on September 23 during Medvedev’s meeting with Obama in New York. Medvedev stated after the meeting with his American counterpart that Russia could support sanctions against Iran.
Many experts say that Russia is turning its back on Iran following the USA’s recent decision to shelve the missile defense plans. Indeed, it looks like the USA and Russia have come to the deal at this point. At the same time, this deal, if it ever happened, is very good for Russia. It is obvious that it is much better for Russia to cooperate with Western countries now rather than with Iran.
Iran has been irritating not only the West but the Arab East as well. The irritation will continue to grow as long as Iran continues to intensify its nuclear activities. Russia does not have to support this bellicose rogue state even for the sake of its own interests in the region.
As for Russia’s commercial interests, Russian specialists have already completed most of their works on Iran’s nuclear objects, the nuclear power plant in Bushehr, first and foremost. Russia’s deliveries of missile weapons to Iran do not seem to be possible for the above-mentioned political reasons. All of that means that Russia will not be able to receive any profit from the economic cooperation with Iran.
Obviously, Moscow’s support of UN’s sanctions against Iran will not show any influence on the result of the sanctions. Moreover, such actions will not affect the nuclear program per se since most of its objects have already been built. Therefore, the fate of the Iranian nuclear program will not change whether Russia supports the UN sanctions or not.
Russia ’s possible decision not to support the Islamic Republic of Iran may lead to negative consequences for this country. This aspect is extremely important for Russia as well . Russia has not won any strategic profit from its cooperation with Teheran. Furthermore, Iran as a strong nation is a serious problem for Russia in terms of the issues related to the oil reserves of the Caspian Sea.
URL: http://english.pravda.ru/russia/politics/109565-russia_iran-0
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